The race for governor remains very close heading into the final weekend of the campaign, the latest State House News Poll shows.
Gov. Deval Patrick earned 40 percent, Republican Charlie Baker 37 percent, independent Tim Cahill 9 percent and Green/Rainbow party candidate Jill Stein 3 percent. About 7 percent of respondents said they are still undecided. Margin of error of the survey is plus or minus 4.8 percent. The poll was taken Oct. 25-27.
“What stands out the most to me is that Governor Patrick is popular personally, even though his job performance is viewed negatively by most people,” said State House News Pollster Gerry Chervinsky. “He has gone from unfavorable to favorable personally while his job-performance numbers have stayed low. You don’t see that very often. Job performance and favorability usually go hand in hand.
“What strikes me is that we have an incumbent governor a majority thinks is not doing a good job, who’s about to get re-elected. That’s surprising,” Chervinsky said.
Other results from the survey of 400 Massachusetts registered voters:
- Mary Connaughton is leading Suzanne Bump for auditor;
- Steve Grossman and Karyn Polito are in a statistical tie for treasurer;
- Martha Coakley leads Jim McKenna by a wide margin for Attorney General.
- Also, all three referenda were rejected by poll respondents; Question 3 to slash the sales tax to 3 percent lost by a margin of 43 percent yes to 56 percent no, with only 1 percent undecided.
Chervinsky’s summary and analysis of the poll accompanies this story, and the complete poll is at www.statehousenews.com/public/poll/Oct10SHNPoll.htm
The underlying spreadsheet in Excel format is at www.statehousenews.com/public/poll/Oct10SHNPoll.xls